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The Intelligence Revolution: How Artificial Intelligence is Transforming Media

A Comprehensive Data Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Adoption in Media

 Based on: Chan-Olmsted, S.M.  (2019).  A Review of Artificial Intelligence Adoptions in the Media Industry.  International Journal on Media Management.  

 DOI: 10.1080/14241277.2019.1695619  

 Published: November 25, 2019

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https://2024.sci-hub.box/7791/035a94fbb605ee66270bdd3b0daeb323/chan-olmsted2019.pdf

 

  Executive Summary

 The media industry stands at a critical inflection point.  Artificial intelligence has emerged not merely as another technological tool, but as a transformative force reshaping how content is created, distributed, and consumed.  This comprehensive analysis examines the adoption patterns, strategic implications, and challenges facing media companies as they integrate cognitive technologies into their operations.

 This study shows that AI applications in media have converged around eight primary functional areas, with adoption rates varying significantly across various media sectors and organizational types, based on systematic qualitative analysis of 149 industry reports, articles, and whitepapers from 2015 to 2018. ---



  1.  The Role of Artificial Intelligence in Media 

1.1 The Landscape of Competition The competitive dynamics have fundamentally changed as a result of the entry of technology giants like Netflix, Amazon, Apple, Google, and Facebook into the conventional media industry. Traditional media organizations must now match these platform companies' sophisticated AI capabilities or risk becoming obsolete. Key Market Setting: - Audience fragmentation is unprecedented for media companies. - Consumer expectations for personalized experiences have reached all-time highs

 - The volume and velocity of content production continue to accelerate

 - The business models for traditional media are constantly being disrupted. 

 1.2 The Importance of AI for Media Media presents unique difficulties, in contrast to the tangible goods industry, where AI applications are simpler: - Complexity of Content: Media products require judgment, interpretation, creativity, and nuanced communication

 - "Experience Goods Nature": Content value varies depending on the context. - "Social Impact Considerations": Media products have a significant impact on society. - Dual Product Nature: Media serves advertisers as well as audiences. ---

Media Industry Turning To Blockchain Technology And Artificial Intelligence



 2.  Research Methodology and Data Collection

  2.1 Systematic Qualitative Analysis Approach

 The research employed thematic analysis of industry materials, allowing for pattern identification across diverse AI applications.  This approach proved particularly valuable given the emerging and rapidly evolving nature of AI adoption in media.

 Parameters for Data Collection: - The period from 2015 to 2018 (the period of AI's commercial breakthrough) - Sample Size: 149 articles, industry reports, and whitepapers

 - Netflix, the New York Times, the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Apple, Hulu, YouTube, Facebook, Amazon, the BBC, the Guardian, Disney, and a variety of startups are among the organizations that have been studied. - Analysis Framework: Porter's Value Chain adapted for media industry

  2.2 Why 2015 as the Starting Point?

 A turning point in AI's commercial applications occurred in 2015: - Amazon launched Alexa

 - Machine learning applications significantly increased in size. - Deep learning neural networks achieved breakthrough performance

 - Industry-wide increases in AI technology investments ---




 3.  Core Findings: Eight Functional Areas of AI Application

 3.1 Audience Content Recommendations and Discovery

 Adoption Leader: Netflix

 Insights and Key Statistics: - This represents the most mature and widespread AI application in media

 - AI is used by 59% of news media worldwide to improve content recommendations. - Netflix's entire brand identity centers on personalized, algorithm-driven content delivery

 Technical Implementation:

 - Patterns of viewing are looked at by machine learning algorithms. - Natural language processing interprets content themes and user preferences

 - Content's visual elements are evaluated by computer vision. - The accuracy of recommendations is continuously improved by deep learning. 

**Business Impact:**

 - Increased user engagement and retention

 - Less effort required to discover content - Increased differentiation from rivals - Increased content ROI via improved matching 

**Example from Netflix:** 

Each subscriber's experience is algorithmically customized by the platform, including: - Homepage row selection and ordering

 - Specific titles featured in each row

 - Movies' visual thumbnails (customized for each user) - Recommendation logic for similar content

 Similar technologies address the historically poor discoverability of audio content by making contextual podcast searches and on-demand content discovery possible for audio platforms. 




3.2 Audience Engagement

 Adoption Rate Data:

 - 47% of media executives think AI will make their jobs easier. - 62% believe that AI will make it easier to make decisions. - Thirty percent say they don't know enough about AI applications. Three Primary Engagement Mechanisms:

 A.  Interactions in the context - Metadata are processed by machine learning to determine the best time to engage - Correlation between current events and user context in real time - Example: Washington Post's Knowledge Map connects ongoing stories with relevant background information seamlessly

 B.  Timely Engagement

 - AI makes it possible to respond in real time to audience preferences and behaviors - Automated alerts based on user interest profiles

 - Dynamic content prioritization based on trending topics

 C.  Assistants Powered by AI - Virtual assistants understand linguistic features and user intent

 - Voice-based interfaces enable natural content searching and navigation

 - Example: NBA teams deploy chatbots for game information, statistics, and ticket inquiries on social media

 Strategic Value:

 Contextual and timely engagement builds deeper brand relationships in today's fragmented media landscape. AI enables scale without sacrificing personalization—a critical competitive advantage.

 3.3 Augmented Audience Experience

 Technical Applications:

 - Enhanced image accuracy and processing

 - Improved comprehension of user intent and input - Improved context analysis and content correlation - Enhanced experiences in augmented and virtual reality Broad-Based Industry Adoption: Major platforms implementing experience augmentation:

 - Netflix, Hulu, Apple, Facebook, YouTube

 - Sports Illustrated, CBS All Access

 - iHeartMedia (audio platform)

 Specific Implementations:

 Optimization of the video:- AI-enhanced encoding improves streaming quality

 - Buffering is avoided with adaptive bitrate algorithms - Improvement of visual quality based on network conditions Enhancement of the audio: - iHeartMedia's Super Hi-Fi AI creates customized song transitions

 - Track-wide automated volume normalization - DJ-like experience at scalable rates for streaming

 User Interface Optimization:

 - Personalized interface layouts based on usage patterns

 - Contextual menu arrangements

 - Predictive content positioning




  3.4 Message Optimization

 Primary Focus: Advertising and marketing campaign personalization

 Key Benefits:

 - For Advertisers: Better audience matching, improved ROI, enhanced transparency

 - For Audiences: less ad fatigue and more relevant advertising - For Media Companies: Increased ad revenue, improved user satisfaction

 Technical Skills: - Real-time video indexing and analysis

 - Contextual ad placement within content

 - Modeling and tracking of attributions - Ad placement that changes based on user profiles Industry Impact - Digital Audio:

 AI makes it possible for digital audio advertising to compete with digital display advertising in the following ways: - Targeting precision

 - Campaign monitoring - Attribution modeling

 - Performance measurement

 This represents a significant competitive advancement for audio media platforms historically disadvantaged in digital advertising markets.

  3.5 Content Management

 Adoption Statistics:

 - 47% of media companies use AI for automated metadata creation

 - 77% of companies with large content libraries employ AI for content tagging

 - 36% use AI to measure and control quality. 

Primary Functions:

 A.  Extraction and Aggregation of Content - Automated collection from multiple sources

 - Intelligent parsing and categorization

 - Example: BBC's Juicer API aggregates news from BBC and external sources, automatically tagging content for searchability and trend analysis

 B.  Content Tagging and Indexing

 - Automated metadata generation

 - Simplified content searches

 - More quickly retrieving clips - Critical for organizations with extensive content archives

 C.  Control and Monitoring of Quality - Automated checking for rendering errors

 - Identifying errors in editing - Omission detection

 - Technical quality assurance

 D.  Content Classification and Sentiment Analysis

 - New York Times uses Perspective API for comment toxicity classification

 - Facebook employs machine learning for fake news identification

 - NewsWhip is used by the Associated Press to identify social media trends. 

E.  Content Adaptation

 - The production of clips automatically for social media platforms - Format optimization for different distribution channels

 - Viewer engagement enhancement through platform-specific content

 Business Value:

 Content management represents one of the highest-value AI applications for media companies with extensive libraries.  The efficiency gains enable human resources to focus on higher-value creative and strategic activities.

 3.6 Creation of Content Revolutionary Potential: AI augments and automates various content creation activities

 Applicable Creative Processes:

A.  Post-Production Automation

 - Plot identification and scene selection

 - Automated scripting assistance

 - Example: IBM Watson produced a cognitive movie trailer for "Morgan" (2016)

 - Hollywood studios use AI to make trailers and translate content. 

B.  Robotic Journalism- Automated earnings reports and coverage of minor league baseball from the Associated Press - Washington Post's Heliograf: Expanded election coverage with predetermined parameters and geo-targeting

 - Yahoo Sports: Automatic Insights platform generates narratives from sports data

 C.  News Production Efficiency

 - Writers focus on high-profile content while AI covers comprehensive baseline reporting

 - Data-centric stories generated automatically from structured datasets

 - Real-time data visualization (Reuters' Graphiq semantic technology)

 D.  Tools for Content Optimization - Forbes' AI suggests topics for articles based on previous work by authors. - The creation of headlines using image sentiment analysis - Rough draft creation for contributors to refine

 E.  Sound Design and Audio Production

 - Disney Research: Automated association of sound effects (such as car images and engine sounds) - Applications for targeted audio experiences for specific audience segments

 The Implications for Strategy: AI makes it possible to divide up work so that: - Humans focus on creative storytelling, intricate analysis, and profound insights. - Machines deliver comprehensive, timely, data-driven content at scale

 - Media organizations expand coverage without proportional resource increases

  3.7 Audience Insights

 Strategic Focus: Internal operations and marketing strategy optimization

 Primary Applications:

 A.  Marketing Analytics

 - Enhanced attribution tracking and modeling

 - Programmatic advertising optimization

 - Marketing forecasting with audience data integration

 B.  Market Segmentation- The creation of personas powered by AI using huge datasets like:  - Geo-specific events and behaviors

  - The patterns of on-site interaction  - Referral source analysis

  - Psychographic factors

  - Past purchasing habits  - Communication preferences

 C.  Advanced Analytics - Forecasting content performance - Audience growth forecasting

 - Revenue optimization modeling

 D.  Real-Time Emotion Tracking

 - Example: Disney's facial scanning software tracks audience emotions during test screenings

 - Deep learning analyzes thousands of subjects simultaneously

 - Helps make decisions about content creation and editing 

E.  Pay-Per-Click Optimization

 - Discovery of new advertising channels

 - Platform testing and optimization

 - Advanced targeting refinement

 Business Impact:

 AI-powered insights enable precision marketing at scale, reducing waste and improving ROI across all marketing investments.  Content creation and distribution strategies are transformed when it is possible to pinpoint the preferences of an audience. 

3.8 Automation of Operations Foundation: Utilizes efficiency enhancement to support numerous other AI applications. Automation of mundane, repetitive tasks to free up human resources for complex, strategic work is the main benefit. Primary Implementations:

 A.  Automation of Content Production - Automated captioning, which is widely used in the industry. - Event monitoring in real time - Social media management

 - As an illustration, AI reduced the Associated Press's weekly copy editing time by 800 hours. **B.  Control of the content - New York Times: AI moderates more article comments faster than human moderators alone

 - Policy violations and harmful content are discovered by machine learning - Human moderators focus on nuanced, complex cases

 C.  News Verification and Research

 - Reuters' News Tracer: Tracks breaking news on Twitter automatically

  - Analyzes percentage of daily tweets for breaking news

  - Utilizes profile and network analysis to verify the authenticity of information  - Reverse-engineers the procedures for journalistic verification 

D.  Fact-Checking Systems

 - Voyc: Voice-scanning AI identifies questionable statements in real-time

  - Converts live audio into text  - Comparisons of verified fact databases with cross-references  - Sends alerts for statements conflicting with verified information

 - The Full Fact and the First Draft: ML-based automation to combat misinformation 

E.  Rights Management

 - Content fingerprinting for identification

 - Micro-licensing that incorporates blockchain - Usage tracking and payment processing

 - Viewing behavior validation

 - Verification of the event's actuality - Unauthorized distribution protection

 F.  Media Management - Media monitoring automation

 - Transcription services

 - Ad verification systems

 - Reference clip generation

 Efficiency Impact:

 The most immediate and measurable ROI for AI investments is operational automation. Media companies with intensive content operations report significant cost reductions and productivity improvements.

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 4.  Trends in Adoption Across Media Industries 

4.1 Sector-Specific Adoption Rates

 Results of the Survey: 

By Type of Media - Cable Systems and MSOs: 44% (highest) adoption - Cable Networks: 30% adoption

 - Broadcast Networks: 25% adoption

 - Organizations that publish news online: high adoption (the exact percentage is unknown, but it is among the most active) - Audio/Radio Platforms: On the rise By Application Type (Global Survey of News Media): - Content recommendations: 59%

 - Workflow automation: 39%

 - Optimization for commercial purposes (ad targeting, dynamic pricing): 39% - Story support provided by intelligent agents: 35% 4.2 Pioneers in the Use of AI Organizations that are most active: - Netflix (content recommendations, personalization, production decisions)

 - New York Times (content moderation, tagging, annotation)

 - The Washington Post (automated reporting and testing of headlines) - Associated Press (automated journalism, content management)

 - BBC (management of metadata and content aggregation) **Common Characteristics of Leaders:**

 - Operations that are digital-native or digital-first - Large-scale content production operations

 - Direct-to-consumer distribution models

 - Significant technical infrastructure investment

 - Data-driven organizational culture

 4.3 Barriers to Adoption

 Primary Obstacles Recognized: Integration Difficulties:

 - 47% of respondents cite difficulty integrating AI with existing processes/systems

 - Problems with legacy systems' compatibility - Organizational silos preventing data integration

 Constrained Resources: - Infrastructure costs are a problem for smaller businesses. - A lack of technical knowledge - Insufficient data volume for effective AI training

 Knowledge Gaps:

 - One-third of media practitioners lack confidence in understanding AI applications

 - Organizational insufficiency in algorithmic literacy - Training and development gaps

 Cultural Concerns:

 - 47% concerned about reduced human control

 - 55% worried about trustworthy insights

 - Conflict between technical and creative teams - Resistance to algorithm-driven decisions

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 5.  Analyses of the Strategic Value Chain  

5.1 Porter's Value Chain Applied to Media

 The research adapts Porter's generic value chain framework to analyze AI's strategic value in media.  This framework divides business activities into primary and support functions, enabling systematic evaluation of AI's impact.

 Modified Media Value Chain Components:

 Primary Activities:

 1.  Acquisition of raw materials (content, data, and media assets) for inbound logistics 2.  Operations: Content transformation and production

 3.  Outbound Logistics: Content delivery and distribution 4.  Marketing/Sales: Audience acquisition and engagement

 5.  Service: relationship management and post-purchase support Promotional Activities: 1.  Acquisition of input and resources through procurement 2.  Management of Human Resources: Recruiting and Developing People 3.  Technology Development: Systems and knowledge management

 4.  Infrastructure: General management and coordination functions

 Critical Modification: Integration of audience feedback loop recognizing that audiences create value through user-generated content and audience insights for advertisers.

 5.2 AI Value Creation Across Primary Activities

 Inbound Logistics Enhancement:

 - Quick and efficient identification and storage of raw materials (such as data, images, and videos) - Content licensing and sourcing that is automated - Systems for intelligent asset management - Rights tracking and verification

 Operations Transformation (Highest Value):

 - Content creation augmentation

 - Improving production workflow - Quality assurance automation

 - Resource allocation optimization

 - Performance: Better perception and productivity Innovation in Outbound Logistics (Highest Value): - Personalized content distribution

 - Optimization for multiple platforms - Enhanced delivery experiences

 - Real-time distribution adjustments

 - Performance: Enhanced effectiveness and innovation

 Marketing/Sales Excellence (Highest Value):

 - Scalable insights into audiences - Individualized approaches to engagement - Predictive campaign optimization

 - Real-time message adjustment

 - Performance: Improved cognition and effectiveness

 Service Transformation:

 - Timely audience interactions (previously impossible in one-way media systems)

 - Chatbot customer service

 - As a service, customized recommendations - Problem solving before it happens  5.3 AI Value Creation in Support Activities

 Technology Development (Primary Support Focus):

 - Improved management of information and knowledge - Improved data processing capabilities

 - A sophisticated infrastructure for analytics - Scalable technology platforms

 "Infrastructure Improvement:" - Data integration across departments

 - Decision-supporting capabilities from analytics - Coordination systems improvement

 Limited Impact Areas:

 - Procurement procedures (currently, a minimal AI application) - Human resource management (limited AI deployment in talent functions)

 5.4 Media Workflow Transformation

 AI impacts all stages of the adapted media workflow:

 Pre-Production:

 - Improving workflow planning - Forecasting the allocation of resources - The development and validation of content concepts

Production:

 - Facilitation of collaboration - Real-time quality monitoring

 - Automated technical processes

 Post-Production:

 - Rich content indexing

 - Metadata analytics

 - Help with editing 

Media Lifecycle Management:

 - Automating asset management - Rights monitoring - Archive optimization

 Multi-Platform Distribution:

 - Distribution orchestration

 - Format optimization

 - Delivery personalization

 Experience Integration:

 - An individual presentation - Interaction measurement

 - The integration of feedback 

Consumption:

 - Real-time optimization

 - Experience enhancement

 - Performance tracking

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 6.  Strategic Implications and Competitive Dynamics

  6.1 The End of Economies of Scale

 Paradigm Shift:

 The advantages of traditional media that are based on scale are decreasing because: - Technology platforms rented out (such as Amazon AWS) - AI democratization through APIs and services

 - Reduce obstacles to the creation and distribution of content - Reduced fixed costs for market entry

 New Competitive Parameters:

 - Agility over size

 - Innovation over infrastructure

 - Niche expertise over mass reach

 - The power to personalize over broadcast power 

Strategic Implications for Incumbents:

 - Must shift from scale-based to innovation-based strategies

 - Need to develop new bundling and aggregation approaches

 - Focus on product excellence over distribution dominance

 - Embrace "unscaled" nimble competitor strategies

 6.2 Value Creation Through AI

 Three Primary Value Mechanisms:

 A.  Perception Enhancement

 - Image and speech recognition improvements

 - Content analysis and categorization

 - Quality assessment automation

 - Pattern identification in large datasets

B.  Cognition Augmentation

 - Improved decision-making speed and accuracy

 - Complex data interpretation and analysis - Predictive modeling capabilities

 - Automated judgment on routine matters

 C.  Prediction Optimization

 - Audience behavior forecasting

 - Content performance prediction

 - Resource allocation optimization

 - Risk assessment and mitigation

 6.3 Differentiation: Content Creators vs.  Distributors

 Content Creators (Production Companies, News Organizations):

 Primary Value Areas:

 - Operational efficiency (improved perception)

 - Content decision enhancement (improved cognition) - Workflow automation

 - Quality improvement

 Important Applications: - Content creation assistance

 - Production optimization

 - Audience insights for content development

 - Archival administration Content Distributors (Platforms, Networks, Streaming Services):

 Primary Value Areas:

 - The efficiency of marketing (improved cognition) - Service innovation (enhanced prediction)

 - Audience relationship building

 - Enhancement of distribution Important Applications: - Recommendations for content - Engines that customize - Attraction of the audience - Enhancement of messaging Vertically Integrated Media Companies (Hybrid Organizations): - Must excel across all value areas

 - Face greatest integration challenges

 - Require an even distribution of expenditures across applications - The need to control conflicts between distribution and production priorities ---

 7.  Important Obstacles to AI Implementation 

7.1 Finding a balance between human and machine intelligence The Netflix Case Study:

 The conflict over "Grace and Frankie's" marketing strategy exemplifies the tension: - Tech team advocated for algorithm-optimized promotional images (highest response ROI)

 - Creative team concerned about star alienation and contract violations

 - Instead of Jane Fonda as the main character, images featured supporting characters. Broader Implications:

 - Data-driven decisions versus creative choices - Building relationships versus measuring efficiency - Brand value over time versus performance in the short term - Soft relational metrics vs. hard performance data

 "Survey Findings:" - 47% of media executives concerned about reduced human control

 - 55% worried about trustworthiness of AI-generated insights

 - Minority believe AI will negatively impact job availability (exact percentage not quantified)

 Strategies for Getting Things Done: - Establish clear decision-making frameworks

 - Define domains for AI and human judgment to compete in. - Create hybrid decision processes

 - Develop AI literacy across organizations

 - Build cultural bridges between technical and creative teams

 7.2 Efficiency vs.  Effectiveness Trade-offs

 Customer Interaction Challenges:

 Efficiency Gains:

 - Chatbots handle high volumes of routine inquiries

 - Virtual assistants provide 24/7 availability

 - Automated responses ensure consistency

 - Cost per interaction dramatically reduced

 Effectiveness Limitations:

 - There is currently no emotional intelligence in AI. - Unable to show genuine empathy - Limited comprehension of the context - May damage brand relationships if overused

 Privacy and Ethics Concerns:

 - Personal data collection necessary for personalization

 - Unclear ethical boundaries for data usage

 - Regulatory uncertainty (especially pre-GDPR implementation in study period)

 - Consumer trust implications

 Problem with Matching Content: - Content is efficiently matched to preferences by algorithms. - On the other hand, preferences may not coincide with societal good - Echo chamber and filter bubble concerns

 - Responsibility for content exposure decisions

 Questions of a Strategic Nature: - How much automation is appropriate in audience relationships?

 - When should human interaction be preserved?

 - How to differentiate assistant interactions from friend interactions?

 - What ethical guidelines should govern AI use?

 7.3 Data, Integration, and Competency Requirements

 Problems with Access to Data: Volume Requirements:

 - For AI to work, huge datasets are needed. - Smaller media organizations at disadvantage

 - Data acquisition is expensive. - Historical data may not be available

 Effects on Privacy: - Tension between data needs and privacy protection

 - Regulatory compliance requirements

 - Consumer consent management

 - Data security obligations

 Integration Barriers:

 Compatibility of the System: - 47% of organizations struggle with AI integration into existing processes/systems

 - Legacy system limitations

 - Siloed data across departments

 - Technical debt from historical IT investments

 Cost Considerations:

 - Needs for infrastructure investment - Ongoing maintenance expenses

 - Small organizations particularly challenged

 - Uncertainty regarding ROI in the early stages of implementation Competency Gaps:

 Algorithmic Literacy:

 - Insufficient understanding across organizations

 - Insufficient resources for training - Rapid technology evolution outpaces learning

 - Need for transparency in AI operations

 Management Capabilities:

 - Top challenge: lack of business alignment

 - Insufficient change management skills

 - Lack of familiarity with AI-enhanced workflows - Need for new leadership competencies

 Technical Expertise:

 - A shortage of AI professionals who are qualified - Competition from technology companies for talent - Timelines for existing employees' training - Retention challenges

 7.4 The evolutionary versus Revolutionary Expectations

 Reality Check:

 Current AI Limitations:

 - Deals with defined tasks, not complex judgment

 - Cannot replicate human synthetic reasoning

 - Lacks contextual understanding

 - Limited to narrow applications

 Market Fragmentation:

 - Many vendors offering point solutions

 - The absence of extensive platforms - Integration challenges across systems

 - The difficulty of selecting vendors Both objectivity and bias: - Biases in training data and parameters are reflected in AI. - The importance of human objectivity in the design phase - Discrimination by accident poses a risk - Requirement for ongoing monitoring and adjusting 

Strategic Recommendations:

 - Maintain realistic expectations about AI capabilities

 - Prioritize augmentation over replacement. - Implement applications that enable humans to work more effectively

 - Plan for evolutionary adoption rather than revolutionary transformation

 - Build organizational learning and adaptation capabilities

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 8.  Industry Survey Data Analysis

 8.1 European Media Practitioner Survey

 Overall AI Impact Perception:

 - Eighty percent agree that AI will significantly affect the media industry. - 62% believe AI will improve decision-making

 - 47% anticipate increases in productivity. - One-third lack confidence in understanding AI applications

 Primary Concerns:

 - Less human oversight: 47% - Trustworthy insights: 55%

 - Job availability impact: Minimal concern (specific percentage not provided)

 Interpretation:

 High awareness and optimism coexist with significant knowledge gaps and control concerns.  This suggests need for education and change management focus in AI implementation strategies.

 8.2 Cognitive Technology Adoption Survey (Deloitte)

 Manager Enthusiasm:

 - 87% consider cognitive technologies important to product offerings

 - 92% view AI as vital to internal business processes

 - 76% believe cognitive technologies will transform their businesses

 Future Outlook:

 Particularly high expectations in B2C industries, where direct consumer interaction makes AI applications more immediately valuable.

 Top Implementation Challenges:

 1.  Lack of business alignment is the primary obstacle. 2.  Integration difficulty with existing processes/systems

 3.  Cost considerations

 4.  Manager competency gaps

  8.3 Use of AI in Specific Media Content Management Applications:

 - 47% use AI to create metadata automatically. - 77% with large content libraries employ AI for tagging

 - 36% use AI for quality control and measurement

Automated Captioning:

 - Widespread adoption across industry

 - Considered essential rather than optional technology

 - High satisfaction with current capabilities

 Social Media and Live Events: - Increasingly important application area

 - The value of real-time monitoring capabilities - It is essential to integrate with social media platforms. 8.4 Most Prominent AI Applications (Technology Research, 2018) 

Top Applications Across Industries:

 1.  Security-related applications

 2.  Analytics and business intelligence

 3.  Customer service/relationship management

 Media-Specific Priority Applications:

 - Content recommendations (highest adoption)

 - Process automation - Commercial optimization

 - Intelligent content discovery assistance

 8.5 Adoption Comparison: Media Sectors

 By Organization Type:

 - Cable Systems/MSOs: 44% adoption

 - 30 percent adoption of cable networks - Television Networks: 25 percent adoption 

Analysis:

 Distribution-focused organizations show higher adoption rates than pure content creators.  This aligns with the finding that AI creates more immediate value in distribution and audience engagement functions.

 By Content Library Size:

 Organizations with large content archives show dramatically higher AI adoption (77% for metadata management) compared to those with smaller libraries, suggesting economies of scale in AI implementation.

 ---

 9.  Future Implications and Research Directions

  9.1 Emerging Trends Beyond 2018

 Technology Evolution:

 - Neural network advancement enabling deeper contextual analysis

 - Improved intent recognition in natural language processing

 - Enhanced computer vision for richer content analysis

 - More sophisticated emotion and sentiment detection

 Application Expansion:

 - From basic automation to complex decision support

 - From siloed applications to integrated AI systems

 - Capabilities that shift from reactive to predictive - From efficiency focus to innovation enablement

  9.2 Research Opportunities

 Studies of Measurement and Impact: - Quantifying AI ROI in media contexts

 - Using AI-enhanced experiences to gauge audience satisfaction - The effects of tracking creative quality - Evaluating the duration of competitive advantage Progression of the Concept: - Media industry-specific AI adoption models - AI integration in the evolution of the value chain - Human-machine collaboration frameworks

 - The theory of decision-making in AI-augmented environments Studies on Implementation: - AI integration best practices - Change management approaches

 - Organizational structure adaptations

 - Skill development pathways

 Ethical and Legal Research:

 - Privacy protection frameworks

 - Systems of algorithmic accountability - Avoidance and detection of bias - Regulatory compliance models

 Cultural and Social Impact:

 - The impact that media mediated by AI has on democratic discourse - Cultural implications of algorithmic content curation

 - Effect on journalism standards and quality - Changes in the information diets of the audience 

 9.3 Media Organizations' Strategic Recommendations For Content Creators:

 1.  Automating workflows should be prioritized to free up creative talent for higher-value work. 2.  Invest in content management AI for organizations with significant archives

 3.  Develop AI-augmented creation capabilities while maintaining human creative control

 4.  Build data infrastructure to support content performance analysis

 For Distributors of Content: 

1.  Concentrate on personalization engines as the primary competitive advantage. 

2.  Enhance audience insights capabilities for better content matching

 3.  Develop sophisticated engagement strategies using AI-powered tools

 4.  Invest in experience optimization across all platforms and touchpoints

 For Hybrid Businesses:

 1.  Establish clear governance for AI versus human decision-making. 

2.  Build bridges between creative and technical teams

 3.  Develop integrated data strategies across production and distribution

 4.  Balance efficiency and effectiveness based on strategic priorities

 All-inclusive Recommendations: 

1.  Start with high-impact, lower-risk applications to build capability and confidence

 2.  Invest in algorithmic literacy and organizational learning

 3.  Develop ethical frameworks for AI use before implementation pressures arise

 4.  Instead of radical transformation, "plan for evolutionary adoption." 

5.  Establish connections with technology providers and research organizations. 

6.  Monitor emerging technologies and competitive developments continuously

 ---

 10.  Conclusion: Navigating the AI-Transformed Media Landscape

  10.1 Important Takeaways 

Ai as a Technology for All Purposes: Like the internet before it, AI represents a transformational technology applicable across all media functions and sectors.  The question for media organizations is not whether or not to implement AI, but rather how to do so in an ethical and strategic manner. Eight Core Application Areas:

 The research identifies eight primary domains where AI creates value in media:

 1.  Content recommendations and discovery

 2.  Audience engagement

 3.  Experiences enhanced 

4.  Message enhancement 

5.  Management of content 

6.  Content creation

 7.  Audience insights

 8.  Operational automation

 Three Value Creation Mechanisms:

 AI delivers value through:

 1.  Automation: reducing labor-intensive, repetitive tasks 2.  Insights: Using data to generate useful information 3.  Engagement: Facilitating individualized and scalable interactions Primary vs.  Activities to Aid: AI creates the most value in primary activities—particularly operations, outbound logistics, and marketing/sales—while technology development leads support activity transformation.

 10.2 The Act of Balancing Success in AI adoption requires media organizations to navigate multiple tensions:

 Creative vs.  Algorithmic Decision-Making:

 Finding the right balance between data-driven efficiency and relationship-focused effectiveness remains the central challenge.  Organizations must develop frameworks that leverage AI strengths while preserving human judgment where it matters most.

 Efficiency in the Short Term versus Long-Term Effectiveness:

 While AI delivers immediate operational benefits, media companies must ensure these gains don't compromise brand relationships, content quality, or societal responsibilities.

 Scale Advantages vs.  Modest Innovation: Traditional scale-based competitive advantages are diminishing as AI and rented platforms democratize capabilities.  Media organizations must develop new sources of differentiation based on innovation, personalization, and niche expertise.

  10.3 Implementation Imperatives

 Build a solid foundation of competence: Organizations must invest in algorithmic literacy, technical infrastructure, and change management capabilities before expecting AI to deliver transformative value.

 Start strategically and think systemic: Rather than pursuing disconnected point solutions, media companies should develop comprehensive AI strategies aligned with business objectives and organizational capabilities.

 Make integration a top priority: The primary challenge isn't AI capability itself but integrating AI into existing processes, systems, and organizational cultures.  Success requires addressing technical, operational, and cultural dimensions simultaneously.

 Keep an ethical eye on things: As AI becomes more powerful and pervasive, media organizations bear responsibility for transparent, equitable implementation that serves audience and societal interests alongside business objectives.

  10.4 The Path Forward

 The media industry stands at a pivotal moment.  AI adoption is accelerating, competitive dynamics are shifting, and audience expectations continue evolving.  Companies that are able to successfully navigate this change will: - View AI as a business mindset and competency, not just a technology

 - Balance machine efficiency with human creativity and judgment

 - Invest in organizational capabilities alongside technical infrastructure

 - Maintain focus on audience value creation amid operational optimization

 - Develop ethical frameworks that build trust while enabling innovation

 The evidence presented in this analysis demonstrates that AI is no longer a future possibility but a present reality reshaping media industry competitive dynamics.  The winners in this transformed landscape will be organizations that approach AI adoption strategically, implement it thoughtfully, and leverage it to enhance rather than replace human creativity, judgment, and relationship-building capabilities.

  10.5 Final Reflection

 As artificial intelligence continues its rapid evolution, the media industry faces both tremendous opportunities and significant challenges.  According to the findings of this analysis, the use of AI in media has progressed from its experimental stages into a practical reality in numerous functional areas. The data shows clear patterns: leading organizations prioritize AI in audience-facing applications while using it to enhance operational efficiency behind the scenes.

 However, the journey toward AI-transformed media operations is evolutionary, not revolutionary.  Success requires realistic expectations, sustained investment, organizational adaptation, and most importantly, thoughtful integration that preserves the creative, relational, and societal value that distinguishes media from other industries.

 The question is no longer whether AI will transform media, but how organizations will shape that transformation to serve audiences, support creative excellence, and fulfill media's crucial role in society.  Those who approach this challenge strategically, ethically, and with appropriate balance between human and artificial intelligence will be best positioned to thrive in the intelligence revolution reshaping the media landscape.

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  References

 Chan-Olmsted, S.M.  (2019).  A Review of Artificial Intelligence Adoptions in the Media Industry.  International Journal on Media Management, 21(3-4), 193-215. https://doi.org/10.1080/14241277.2019.1695619

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 This analysis is based on research published in the International Journal on Media Management (ISSN: 1424-1277 Print, 1424-1250 Online).  The original research employed systematic qualitative analysis of 149 industry sources from 2015-2018 to identify patterns in AI adoption across media organizations. 

Sunday, October 5, 2025

Marketing in the Quantum Age: How Predictive Analytics and Quantum Machine Learning Are Revolutionizing Customized Marketing





 Introduction: The Dawn of a New Marketing Era

 The marketing landscape stands at a transformative crossroads.  As quantum computing emerges from theoretical physics labs into practical applications, a groundbreaking convergence is reshaping how businesses understand and engage with consumers.  A recent study published at the 2024 IEEE Intelligent Systems and Machine Learning Conference by Dr.  Nihar Suresh Dahake, Dr.  Parihar Suresh Dahake, and Prof.  This paradigm shift is the subject of Kanchan Tolani's investigation into how predictive analytics and quantum machine learning (QML) are revolutionizing individualized marketing strategies. Traditional marketing approaches, while effective in their time, increasingly struggle to keep pace with the exponential growth of consumer data and the complexity of modern buying behaviors.  Quantum computing is a new technology that not only speeds up the processing of information but also fundamentally rethinks the operation of computation itself. By harnessing quantum bits (qubits) that can exist in multiple states simultaneously, quantum computers offer unprecedented capabilities for analyzing vast datasets and identifying patterns that would remain invisible to classical computing methods.

 This research represents more than an incremental improvement in marketing technology.  It signals a fundamental reimagining of how brands can understand, predict, and respond to consumer needs with precision previously thought impossible.




 Understanding Quantum Machine Learning: Beyond Classical Computing

 To appreciate the revolutionary potential of quantum computing in marketing, we must first understand what makes it fundamentally different from classical computation.

 The Quantum Advantage

 Classical computers process information using bits that exist in binary states—either 0 or 1.  Quantum computers, however, leverage qubits that can exist in superposition, simultaneously representing multiple states.  This isn't merely about speed; it's about exploring exponentially more computational pathways in parallel.




 Two key quantum phenomena drive this advantage:

 With Quantum Superposition, multiple consumer attributes can be analyzed simultaneously, resulting in more nuanced audience segmentation. Instead of sequentially analyzing customer characteristics, quantum systems can evaluate countless combinations simultaneously, revealing correlations and patterns that emerge only when viewing data holistically.

 With quantum entanglement, interconnected consumer profiles can be created in which changes in one variable immediately inform comprehension of related variables. This facilitates context-aware marketing that adapts in real-time to the complex interplay of consumer preferences and behaviors.

 The researchers note that quantum learning machines can execute intricate computations at unprecedented speeds, providing marketers with analytical capabilities that transcend the limitations of traditional approaches.  This isn't just faster analytics—it's fundamentally more sophisticated pattern recognition.

 A Mixed-Method Approach to Research The study employed a comprehensive mixed-methods approach, combining quantitative predictive modeling with qualitative expert insights.  To get a multi-perspective understanding of the potential of quantum marketing, the research team surveyed ten marketing professionals, ten data scientists, and 200 consumers who were actively using e-commerce services. For data analysis, the researchers utilized Orange Data Mining Software, implementing several machine learning algorithms including:

  •  Neural Networks
  •  AdaBoost
  •  Random Forest
  •  Support Vector Machines (SVM)
  •  Logistic Regression

 This methodological diversity allowed the team to compare classical machine learning approaches while establishing benchmarks for future quantum implementations.  In addition to proving quantum superiority theoretically, the objective was to develop practical frameworks for quantum-enhanced marketing in actual situations. 




Data Analysis: Unveiling Predictive Power

 The empirical findings from this research provide compelling evidence for the transformative potential of machine learning in marketing—and by extension, the even greater promise of quantum approaches.

 Analysis 1: Customer Behavior Classification

 The first analysis focused on predicting general customer behavior patterns using four distinct machine learning models.  The results were striking:


Model Performance Metrics:

ModelAUCClassification AccuracyF1 ScorePrecisionRecall
SVM0.980.870.890.860.86
Random Forest0.980.930.910.920.92
Neural Network1.001.001.001.001.00
AdaBoost1.001.001.001.001.00

 

 These results reveal several important insights:

 Perfect Performance at the Top Tier: Both Neural Networks and AdaBoost achieved perfect scores across all metrics (AUC = 1.00, CA = 1.00, F1 = 1.00, Precision = 1.00, Recall = 1.00).  This indicates these models could flawlessly distinguish between different customer behavior categories in the dataset, correctly identifying all positive cases without false positives or false negatives.

 Strong Secondary Performance: 

Random Forest and SVM also demonstrated excellent performance, with AUC scores of 0.98 and classification accuracies of 0.93 and 0.87 respectively.  While not perfect, these results still represent highly reliable predictive capabilities.

 Implications for Marketing: 

The ability to achieve perfect classification of customer behaviors suggests that even with classical machine learning, marketers can develop highly accurate predictive models.  According to the findings, quantum methods may be able to deal with even more intricate, multidimensional datasets while maintaining or exceeding this accuracy. Prediction of Cart Abandonment from Analysis 2 The second analysis tackled a specific, high-value marketing challenge: predicting shopping cart abandonment—the phenomenon where online shoppers add items to their cart but leave without completing the purchase.  E-commerce businesses face a significant challenge because cart abandonment rates typically range from 60 to 80 percent across industries. 

Cart Abandonment Prediction Results:

ModelAUCClassification AccuracyF1 ScorePrecisionRecall
SVM0.950.750.710.820.78
Random Forest0.980.850.840.850.85
Neural Network1.000.970.980.980.98
AdaBoost1.000.970.980.980.98

 

 This analysis presents a more nuanced picture:

 Near-Perfect Top Performance: Neural Networks and AdaBoost once more topped the list thanks to their near-perfect performance across all other metrics and perfect AUC scores (1.00). This demonstrates remarkable skill in determining which clients are likely to abandon their carts. Graduated Performance Levels: The results show clearer differentiation between models.  SVM performed well but had significantly lower accuracy (0.95 AUC, 0.75 CA) than Random Forest, which had a strong performance (0.98 AUC, 0.85 CA). This gradient suggests different models may be optimal for different marketing prediction tasks.

 Practical Marketing Value: 

The high precision scores (98% for Neural Networks and AdaBoost, 85% for Random Forest) indicate that when these models predict cart abandonment, they're correct the vast majority of the time.  This allows marketers to confidently target intervention strategies—such as personalized reminders, limited-time discounts, or customer service outreach—to customers genuinely at risk of abandoning purchases.

 Logistic Regression Baseline

 For comparison, the researchers also tested traditional Logistic Regression:


 The significantly lower performance (54.3% accuracy compared to 97-100% for advanced models) underscores how sophisticated machine learning algorithms dramatically outperform traditional statistical approaches for complex marketing predictions.

 Key Findings: The Quantum Marketing Revolution

 Based on their comprehensive analysis, the researchers identified several transformative implications:

 1.  Unprecedented Computational Power

 Quantum algorithms possess extraordinary capability for complex calculations, potentially enabling revolutionary advances in personalized marketing.  The research demonstrates that even classical machine learning achieves remarkable accuracy; quantum approaches promise to extend these capabilities to vastly larger, more complex datasets while maintaining or improving accuracy.

 2.  Enhanced Analytics for Prediction Quantum machine learning significantly improves traditional predictive analytics by processing massive datasets at unprecedented speeds.  The ability to simultaneously analyze multiple customer attributes through quantum superposition enables more detailed and precise audience segmentation than previously possible.

 3.  Interconnected Consumer Understanding

 Quantum entanglement enables highly personalized, context-aware marketing through the creation of interconnected consumer profiles. Instead of viewing customer attributes in isolation, quantum approaches reveal the complex relationships between preferences, behaviors, and external factors.

 4.  Transformation of Traditional Practices

 According to the findings, quantum-inspired strategies pose a fundamental challenge to standard marketing strategies and present new opportunities for innovation and competitive differentiation. In increasingly crowded markets, businesses that successfully integrate these technologies may achieve sustainable advantages. 5.  Implementation Challenges

 The need for specialized expertise, the high cost of quantum hardware, and the ongoing development of quantum-resistant encryption standards are all acknowledged as significant obstacles to the adoption of quantum marketing. For widespread implementation, these obstacles must be addressed in a systematic manner. Practical Applications: From Theory to Strategy

 How might marketers actually make use of these capabilities enhanced by quantum physics? The study suggests a number of high-impact uses: Dynamic Personalization at Scale

 Quantum computing could enable real-time personalization for millions of customers simultaneously, with each interaction informed by analysis of billions of data points.  Instead of segmenting customers into broad categories, quantum systems could treat each customer as a unique individual with dynamically updated preferences.

 Predictive Customer Journey Mapping

 By analyzing the complex interplay of factors influencing purchase decisions, quantum systems could predict customer journeys with unprecedented accuracy, allowing marketers to proactively address concerns, answer questions, and remove obstacles before customers even encounter them.

 Optimization of Marketing Mix

 Quantum algorithms excel at solving complex optimization problems.  Marketers could leverage this capability to simultaneously optimize multiple variables—pricing, messaging, channel selection, timing, creative elements—across diverse customer segments, finding optimal solutions that would be computationally intractable for classical systems.

 Real-Time Sentiment Analysis

 Quantum-enhanced natural language processing could analyze social media, reviews, and customer communications at massive scale, detecting nuanced shifts in sentiment and emerging trends that classical systems might miss until they've already impacted brand perception.

 The Road Ahead: Future Research Directions

 The researchers identify several crucial areas for continued investigation:

 Longitudinal Implementation Studies

 Quantum marketing adoption across various industries and company sizes should be tracked over time in future research to identify success factors, challenges, and emerging best practices. It will be essential to comprehend the long-term impact on marketing ROI, customer satisfaction, and competitive positioning. Consumer Perspectives and Ethics

 Understanding how customers react to quantum-enhanced personalization becomes increasingly important as technology advances. Research should explore the balance between helpful personalization and privacy concerns, investigating how transparent companies should be about quantum analytics and what controls consumers expect.

 Cross-Cultural Applications

 Marketing effectiveness varies significantly across cultural contexts.  Quantum marketing strategies should be studied to see how they perform in various markets and whether quantum systems are better able to take into account cultural differences than classical methods. Skill Development and Workforce Transformation

 The quantum marketing revolution will require new skillsets combining marketing expertise, data science proficiency, and quantum computing literacy.  Future research should explore effective educational approaches and organizational structures for building quantum-ready marketing teams.

 Challenges and Considerations

 Quantum marketing, despite its transformative potential, faces significant obstacles: Technical Limitations

 Current quantum computers remain relatively limited in scope and stability.  Quantum states are fragile, requiring extreme conditions to maintain.  Scaling quantum systems to handle real-world marketing datasets reliably remains an engineering challenge.

 Cost Barriers

 Quantum computing infrastructure requires substantial investment, potentially limiting adoption to large enterprises initially.  The democratization of quantum marketing capabilities will depend on cloud-based quantum computing services becoming more accessible and affordable.

 Lack of Expertise Few professionals currently possess both marketing expertise and quantum computing knowledge.  For practical implementation, it will be necessary to establish training programs and form interdepartmental teams. Ethical Issues to Consider The enhanced predictive power of quantum marketing raises important ethical questions about manipulation, privacy, and consumer autonomy.  How much personalization is too much?  At what point does predictive targeting cross ethical boundaries?  These questions demand careful consideration as capabilities advance.

 Data Quality Dependence

 High-quality data is required by even quantum algorithms. In order for quantum systems to fulfill their promise, organizations must ensure that their data collection, storage, and management procedures provide the comprehensive, clean datasets required. Conclusion: Embracing the Quantum Future

 Dahake, Dahake, and Tolani's research provides convincing evidence that a marketing revolution is imminent. Quantum Machine Learning promises to transform how businesses understand and engage with customers, offering unprecedented personalization, predictive accuracy, and optimization capabilities.

 The empirical findings—demonstrating near-perfect prediction of customer behaviors and cart abandonment using advanced machine learning—suggest that quantum approaches could handle even more complex challenges while maintaining exceptional accuracy.  As Neural Networks and AdaBoost achieved perfect classification in the researchers' analysis, quantum systems may push beyond current limitations to reveal insights invisible to classical approaches.

 However, this revolution will not occur automatically.  Success necessitates: Strategic Investment: Organizations must begin building quantum capabilities now, even as the technology matures

 Collaboration across disciplines: Marketing teams must collaborate closely with data scientists and experts in quantum computing. Ethical Frameworks: For quantum-enhanced personalization to be ethical, businesses must actively address privacy concerns. Continuous Learning: The field is evolving rapidly; staying current requires ongoing education and experimentation

 Customer-Centricity: Technology should serve customers' interests, not just maximize short-term conversions

 The Quantum Age of marketing is not a distant future—it's emerging now.  Organizations that understand and embrace these capabilities while thoughtfully addressing their challenges will be positioned to thrive in an increasingly competitive, data-driven marketplace.  Those that wait may find themselves at a permanent disadvantage as quantum-enhanced competitors develop deeper customer understanding and more effective engagement strategies.

 The convergence of quantum computing and marketing represents more than technological advancement—it's a fundamental reimagining of the relationship between businesses and customers.  Success in this new era will go to those who combine human creativity, ethical principles, and a genuine commitment to customer value with quantum-powered insights. About the Research: This analysis is based on "Marketing In Quantum Age: The Role of Predictive Analytics and Quantum Machine Learning For Customized Marketing" by Dr.  Nihar Suresh Dahake, Dr.  Parihar Suresh Dahake, and Prof.  Kanchan Tolani, which was presented in the ISML proceedings of the 2024 Intelligent Systems and Machine Learning Conference (DOI: 10.1109/ISML60050.2024.11007443).




Wednesday, October 1, 2025

How Artificial Intelligence and Simulation Are Transforming Electric Vehicle Supply Chains: Reimagining Manufacturing for a Circular Future The manufacturing industry worldwide faces an existential threat (A Case Study of SCANIA Motors 2)



 The EU imports 16,000 tonnes of rare-earth materials annually from China, which accounts for 98% of its requirements. These materials are essential for the production of electric vehicles, but their supply is in jeopardy. Production has increased from 4,070 to 10,261 metric tons, resulting in an increase in prices of 152 percent. Worldwide, manufacturers' operational viability is in jeopardy as a result of this volatility, particularly as the electric vehicle revolution advances. A data-driven path forward is provided by ground-breaking research by Pérez, Lieder, Jeong, and Asif (2025). Their simulation-based decision support tool, which was published in the International Journal of Production Research, demonstrates that an additional 10.6% design investment can reduce the average cost of an electric machine by 18.6%, material demand by 14.7%, and cradle-to-gate impact by 38.7%. 


This research helps manufacturers navigate the transition to circular economy models by bridging the gap between early product design decisions and end-of-life outcomes that won't happen for over a decade. More than just environmental rhetoric, the imperative of the circular economy Principles of the circular economy have evolved from aspirational targets for sustainability to competitive necessities. The Circularity Gap Report (2021) states that the circular economy has the potential to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 39% and reduce virgin resource use by 28% globally. However, the lack of implementation is frustrating. Despite estimates that remanufacturing can cost 40–65 percent less than new production, remanufacturing only makes up 1.9% of production in the EU. The study reveals a fundamental disconnect: it is impossible to fully link the effects of today's design choices to the vehicle's end-of-life (EOL) situation ten years later. As executives struggle to justify investments whose returns are uncertain and distant, this temporal gap paralyzes strategic planning. 


With significant after-market potential estimated at 0.8 to 0.9 billion Euros in 2040, electric motors (also known as electric machines) have been identified as a "rising star" component that will experience increased demand alongside traction batteries. These components are particularly strategic due to the embedded rare-earth magnets. By 2050, according to a study, circular practices like recycling could meet up to 70% of the neodymium demand for electric vehicles. The need for action is clear: putting in place recovery infrastructure now will put manufacturers in a position to benefit from the wave of end-of-life electric vehicles that will arrive around 2035-2040 as the first generation of EVs reach the end of their useful lives. Supply Chain Management's Evolution of Advanced Analytics: From Static Models to AI-Enhanced Simulation We must follow the development of supply chain modeling approaches—a path that increasingly intersects with artificial intelligence—to comprehend the innovation represented by this research. Deterministic Optimization, First Generation (1990s-2000s) Production planning with known parameters was the primary focus of the initial remanufacturing models. Case studies focused on established remanufacturing sites with known capacity, emphasizing planning and inventory policies, and numerical models simulated hybrid manufacturing systems to manage both returned products and raw materials in order to find the best policies. 


These strategies relied on presumptions about predictable processing times, predictable return flows, and stable demand, all of which are uncommon in actual circular supply chains. Probabilistic Simulation, Second Generation (2000-2010) The adoption of stochastic modeling was driven by recognizing the uncertainties in the supply chain. Based on cost, revenue, and profit, probabilistic models evaluated system performance through Monte Carlo simulations. However, their inability to capture the dynamic interactions between product lifecycles, component degradation on its own, and cascading material flows over multiple recovery cycles remained a limitation. Multi-Method Simulation: Third Generation (2010s-Now) The research conducted by Pérez et al. exemplifies the sophistication of this generation. Agent-Based (AB), Discrete Event (DE), and System Dynamics (SD) simulation modeling produces outcomes that are more realistic. Through manufacturing, utilization, and multiple recovery cycles, their model tracks individual parts as agents carrying variables like material type, cost, mass, and degradation state. 


Given the above hierarchy, the ability to merge (i.e., assemble) individual part agents into a complete product is the main advantage of using an AB approach. In a similar vein, the product can be disassembled, or unmerged, back into its component parts, preserving the weight, cost, and identification numbers of each part while remaining trackable throughout the simulation runs. With previous modeling methods, this capability—tracking individual components through assembly, 15-year usage phases, disassembly, recovery, and reassembly into new products—was impossible. AI-enhanced adaptive systems are the upcoming fourth generation (current and future). Although it does not explicitly employ machine learning, the current study lays the groundwork for AI integration. Individual component histories, degradation patterns, recovery success rates under various conditions, cost-benefit relationships across thousands of scenarios, and extensive data structures that are ideal for training AI models are generated by the simulation. Layering AI capabilities onto this simulation infrastructure is the natural evolution: Predictive Analytics: The linear degradation function (D(t) = a t) used in the research was not as accurate as machine learning models trained on operational sensor data at predicting component degradation. Core collection can now be done proactively before critical damage thresholds are exceeded. Computer vision: Convolutional neural networks could replace manual core assessment with automated visual inspection, lowering labor costs, which make up a lot of the cost model's recovery expenses. 


Reinforcement Learning: As return flows fluctuate unpredictably, adaptive algorithms could optimize inventory policies in real time to balance the availability of new parts and remanufactured parts. Digital Twins: The digital twin idea that is becoming more and more used in smart manufacturing is reflected in the agent-based architecture in which each component carries lifecycle data. These digital representations could be fed by real-time data from IoT-enabled products in the field, allowing for dynamic decision-making. Detailed Circular Manufacturing Use Cases for AI in Supply Chain Management Although the research does not directly employ AI, its findings highlight the areas in circular supply chains where AI applications would generate the greatest value: Use Case 1: Core Quality Predictive Assessment Remanufacturing success rate, followed by product-related factors like lifetime minimum, critical damage threshold, and degradation factor, emerged as the most crucial parameter for ensuring economically viable circular supply chains over the long term, according to the sensitivity analysis. 


Through the following, AI can significantly boost success rate prediction: Embedded sensors monitor vibration patterns, temperature profiles, electrical performance degradation, and mechanical stress indicators during the utilization phase of Sensor Fusion Analytics. These multi-modal data streams are processed by machine learning algorithms to determine which parts can be reused rather than recycled and how long they will last. Anomaly Detection: Unsupervised learning finds unusual patterns of degradation that point to manufacturing flaws, abuse, or environmental factors that affect the health of a product. This information immediately flags cores unsuitable for recovery and contributes to design enhancements. Optimization Algorithms: AI finds the best return timing by weighing the value of extended utilization against the risk of degradation beyond recovery thresholds using predicted core quality and current inventory levels. According to the findings, 60 percent of the mass of magnets and 56 percent of the mass of regular steel could be used for remanufacturing or reuse. These percentages could be increased by 5-10% by improving quality prediction, resulting in material cost savings of millions at scale. 


Automated Disassembly Planning is Use Case 2 The research uses sophisticated cascading logic: it is assumed that the disassembly sequence is the same as the assembly sequence, with the product breaking down into modules, subassemblies, and individual parts first. Throughout each of the aforementioned disassembly levels, the cascading logic for core evaluation is used repeatedly. This can be improved by robotic disassembly systems powered by AI: Vision-Guided Robotics: Without reprogramming, vision-guided robots are able to identify parts, locate fasteners, and adapt to product variations thanks to deep learning models trained on component images. Using actual processing times, part accessibility, and tooling requirements, reinforcement learning discovers more efficient sequences rather than assuming disassembly mirrors assembly. Quality-Dependent Routing: As components are taken out, computer vision evaluates damage and wear and dynamically routes them to recycling, remanufacturing, or reuse streams. 


Workers = demand/1000 + 1 in the research's staffing equation assumes manual disassembly. In addition to enhancing consistency and speed, AI-driven automation could cut labor requirements by 40-60%. Use Case 3: Optimizing Inventory and Dynamic Demand Forecasting Over the course of 45 years, 10,000 electric machines are assumed to be in constant demand in the simulation. The effects of technology disruption, economic cyclicality, and seasonality are all present in real markets. Applications of AI include: Multi-Horizon Forecasting: LSTM neural networks incorporate external variables such as vehicle production schedules, economic indicators, commodity prices, and policy shifts (e.g., EV subsidies, emission regulations) into their forecasts of demand at daily, monthly, and annual horizons. Probabilistic Forecasting: AI generates probability distributions over demand scenarios rather than point estimates, allowing for robust optimization in the face of uncertainty. Multi-Echelon Inventory Optimization: AI accounts for the unique uncertainties of reverse logistics, where return timing and quality are stochastic, by simultaneously optimizing stock levels across new part suppliers, production facilities, remanufacturing centers, and distribution networks. 


The quality and timing of returns, demand for remanufactured and reused products, requirements for materials that match, and uncertainties regarding disassembly and process time are among the challenges and uncertainties that closed-loop supply chains face, according to the research. AI is particularly well-suited to addressing these complexities due to its ability to deal with uncertainty in high dimensions. Use Case No. 4: Enhancing the Network of the Supply Chain The study's models are simplified networks with a single center for manufacturing and remanufacturing. Real-world implementations confront challenging network design issues: Considering transportation costs, labor availability, regulatory environments, and customer proximity, where should remanufacturing centers be situated? This old problem is solved by using circular-specific constraints and mixed-integer programming enhanced with machine learning for cost prediction. AI determines optimal material flows across network nodes in real time in response to transportation disruptions, capacity constraints, and shifting material prices as cores become available and production needs change. 


Assessment of Supplier Risk AI models can process geopolitical news, trade data, and commodity markets to predict disruption probabilities, triggering proactive sourcing adjustments, given the research's focus on rare-earth supply chain risks. Use Case 5: Improving the Process Parameters Labor time for inspection, cleaning, disassembly, and specialized remanufacturing activities are among the many parameters included in the cost model. To figure out how much it would cost, experts gave time estimates for each remanufacturing and reuse step. As a result, costs associated with recovery, EOL labor and energy, and internal logistics can all be factored into the cost of a single restored component. These processes can be improved by AI through: Process Mining: Using execution log analysis, bottlenecks, rework loops, and efficiency differences between operators or equipment can be discovered. Prescriptive Analytics: Using machine learning, process parameters like the length of time it takes to clean, the temperature at which it heats, and the sequences of inspections are suggested to keep quality consistent while reducing costs. Adaptive Control: Instead of using predetermined procedures, AI adjusts processing parameters in real time as part conditions change. 


Modern AI Services for Supply Chain Management The market for AI-powered supply chain solutions is changing quickly, but comprehensive platforms for circular manufacturing are still lacking: Platforms for businesses with the potential to go around Blue Yonder (JDA Software): The demand forecasting and inventory optimization features of their Luminate platform are made possible by machine learning. Neural network demand sensing and autonomous supply chain orchestration are two core capabilities. However, in order to handle reverse logistics, quality-dependent routing, and material tracking across multiple lifecycles, adaptation for circular flows would necessitate substantial customization. SAP Integrated Business Planning: S/4HANA's circular economy features support recycling and remanufacturing operations, and machine learning modules address demand volatility and supply response. 


Between forward production planning and reverse material flows, integration challenges exist. Oracle Supply Chain Management Cloud: Blockchain-enabled traceability and predictive analytics effectively support forward supply chains. Circular applications necessitate custom development, particularly for the research's cascading EOL evaluation logic. Kinaxis RapidResponse: If extended with reverse logistics modules and quality assessment capabilities, their concurrent planning approach and machine learning-enhanced scenario analysis could support circular manufacturing. Solutions for the Circular Economy Maersk TradeLens: This blockchain platform offers container-level tracking and documentation, which is pertinent to the research's requirements for product traceability. Before EMs are taken off the market, the study emphasizes the need for product health indicators and product tracking capabilities to estimate their residual useful life. 


The IBM Sterling Supply Chain Intelligence Suite includes IoT-integrated AI-powered visibility and risk management. Although circular-specific workflows necessitate customization, asset tracking capabilities could support the individual part agent tracking implemented in the simulation model. Manufacturing execution system with AI analytics from Rockwell Automation called Plex Systems is useful for shopfloor remanufacturing operations. According to the findings, in order to improve the stability of the process and decrease the amount of effort required for operational handling, it is necessary to have knowledge of the remanufacturing process, which can be supported by digital tools and automation. The Deficit in Circular Manufacturing An important point to make is that no major vendor provides complete out-of-the-box circular manufacturing solutions with integrated forward/reverse flows, quality-dependent cascading routing, multi-lifecycle material accounting, and linkages from design to EOL. Manufacturers face a challenge and technology providers stand to benefit from this gap. Part-level agents, hierarchical assembly/disassembly, degradation modeling, and integrated cost/environmental accounting are all part of the research's simulation architecture, which basically outlines the features needed for such a platform. 


Deep Dive: A Case Study of the Scania Electric Machine Through a comprehensive examination of a Scania electric machine, the research demonstrates how simulation-based decision support can be applied to real-world manufacturing decisions. Material Structure and Design of Products There are twelve separate components that make up the EM. This kind of motor typically has a stator with fixed, symmetrical three-phase windings. A rotor housed within the stator houses a collection of specially shaped magnets. The distribution of the materials has strategic significance: Electrical Steel: The component with the highest mass (stator/rotor laminations) Rare-Earth Magnets (NdFeB): Critical supply chain risk and highest cost component Copper windings have a high value, but technically they can't be used again. Housing made of aluminum is a structural component that can be recycled. Insulation materials with varying recyclability include polymers and composites. Electromechanical transformation is made possible by magnets that are shaped specifically for the rotor. Typically, these magnets account for the majority of the cost of the materials. The torque, power density, speed, high-speed operation, and flux-weakening capability of magnets are affected by their material and configuration. The optimization experiments identified magnet-containing components as priority investment targets for circular design because of this concentration of costs. 


Methodology for Design Parameterization The methodical quantification of design effort is a significant methodological advance. In AB simulations, a technique is used to parameterize design decisions for decision support. As a starting point, the design is based on the current Scania EM concept. Activities were listed to estimate additional timely efforts, prototyping, and testing based on the need to modify the design to facilitate reuse, remanufacturing, or recycling. The following three design methods were quantified: Modular architecture, standardized fasteners, accessible wear components, documented disassembly procedures, and improved durability for repeated processing are all part of the design for remanufacturing (an additional 15% effort). Similar to remanufacturing, Design for Reuse (12%) is optimized for minimal reconditioning and features robust connectors, protective coatings, and simplified critical junctions. Material purity, identification marking, simplified material separation, and avoiding hazardous substances are all part of the Design for Recycling (7% additional effort) strategy.


 "Design approaches for reuse, remanufacturing, and recycling can be combined by allocating these to different parts of the EM," states the innovation, "recognizing that different parts within the same product can follow different EOL strategies." First Experiment: Cost-Effective Circular Design By varying EOL strategies across the 12 parts, the initial optimization experiment attempted to reduce total operational costs to a minimum. Parts P1, P8, P9, P11, and P12 should be considered for reuse, while part P10 should be remanufactured, as shown by the best combination. Additionally, it is suggested that the entire assembly of parts P8 through P12 be reused in module M2 and the subassemblies S3 and S4. The general design-for-circularity guidelines, which treat all components equally, are starkly opposed to this targeted approach. The strategic insight is to focus design investment on subassemblies of high value that use expensive materials. The outcomes are compelling: the total cost decreased by 17.7%, the carbon footprint decreased by 38.7% (from cradle to gate), material demand decreased by 14.7%, the average cost of EM decreased by 18.6%, and design investment was increased by 10.6%. 


Financial validation suggests viability: To break even, approximately 31,000 units must be recovered using a 16 percent cost savings per EM and a high CAPEX estimate of 6 percent design investment—achievable given the scope of the target market. Second Experiment: A Circular Investment of Minimum Viability The objective of the second optimization was reversed: maintain economic viability in comparison to the linear baseline while minimizing design investment. The conclusion suggests that S3, as well as all of its components P8, P9, and P10, ought to be made to be simple to reuse. Recycling-friendly design should be used for all remaining components and assemblies. Implementations with limited resources or regulatory compliance issues are addressed in this scenario. Despite a design investment of +8.4 percent, total costs decreased by 6.6%, the carbon footprint decreased by 8.0%, and material demand decreased by 10.1%. Strategic Implication: Businesses can gradually implement circularity, concentrating first on subassembly S3 (the magnet-containing rotor assembly) while ensuring that the remaining components can be recycled. Risk is reduced, early wins are achieved, and organizational support for a broader circular transformation is developed with this phased approach. 


The Pattern of Three Phases in Temporal Dynamics Across three 15-year phases, the longitudinal analysis reveals distinct performance patterns: Phase 1: The Investment Period (from 0 to 14). Only new (virgin) materials are used to make and sell EMs in the first EM group. Since the simulation is expanding, no benefits are anticipated at this stage. This is the commitment period that requires ongoing investment despite the lack of immediate returns, which executives must take into account when evaluating circular business cases. Phase 2: Peak Returns (14-30 years) When cores can be recovered after the utilisation phase, which occurs in year 14, the first benefits are realized. After another 14–15 years (in year 30), when these EMs exit the use phase, they go through the remanufacturing and reuse procedure once more. The second category of EMs consists of EMs that have been in use for 14–15 years and have been recovered. These EMs contain a mixture of new and remanufactured components. Cradle-to-gate impact reduction and cost savings reached their highest levels after year 30. Phase 3: Effects of quality degradation (ages 30 to 45) The third EM group, like the second, has a mix of new and remanufactured or reused parts. However, after two complete lifecycles, some of the remanufactured and reused components must be recycled. 


Core quality overall suffers as a result of this. After year 30, the average cost savings fall to 13.2% from 23.6%. Similarly, the average cradle-to-gate impact decreases from 46.0% to 33.0% after year 30. The crucial finding is that infinite circularity is not possible. Recovery is limited by material fatigue to approximately two full lifecycles before recycling is required. Total material demand reduction plateaus at the observed 14.7% level due to this physical constraint, as opposed to more optimistic scenarios that assume indefinite remanufacturing. Analysis of Material-Specific Recovery Eight material categories with wildly varying recovery potential were tracked in the simulation: Eighty percent of the electrical steel mass collected during the simulation runs could be used for remanufacturing or reuse, and the remaining twenty percent could be recycled. Magnets and regular steel follow a similar pattern, with roughly 60% and 56% going to remanufacturing and reuse, respectively, and the remaining 40% and 44% going to recycling. Copper, for example, cannot be remanufactured or reused due to technical constraints; however, at the conclusion of the simulation period, it still possesses a high recycling potential of more than 1,500 tons. 


Copper windings cannot be remade, which presents a significant design opportunity. Copper has a significant material cost as well as embedded energy. Modular winding cassettes or advanced joining methods like ultrasonic welding and laser bonding, both of which allow for non-destructive removal and reinstallation, have the potential to shift copper's value from recycling to reuse. Sensitivity Analysis: Important Factors for Success By varying seven different parameters in increments of 25%, Experiment 3 systematically investigated uncertainties from 100% to +100%. The most Important Parameters: Cost benefits are most affected by changes in the success rate of remanufacturing and reuse, with economic losses occurring when the success rate falls below 75%. This parameter reduces footprint savings, but the circular scenario still had lower emissions than the linear one. On the other hand, cost savings are greatest when lifetime minimum, lifetime maximum, and degradation factor are reduced. This is because the utilisation phase is shortened, allowing cores to be recovered earlier and with less damage.


 Obstacles to Circulation: Some variations (marked in white) have not reduced costs or the carbon footprint, indicating that both outcomes are the same. This is the situation, for instance, when the return rate is reduced to zero, preventing cores from being utilized in remanufacturing and reuse processes. This highlights a fundamental requirement: proactive core acquisition strategies are necessary for circular manufacturing. Since the business model must guarantee product returns through deposits, buy-backs, leasing, or regulatory mandates, zero return rates eliminate all circular benefits. Priorities for the Manager: The allocation of investments is directly influenced by the sensitivity analysis: Process Excellence: To maximize success rates, put a lot of money into remanufacturing process technology, quality control, and operator training. Implement monitoring systems that optimize return timing for predictive maintenance to capture cores before excessive degradation occurs. Build products with modular, resistant to degradation architectures to increase the number of possible recovery cycles. 


User Insights: Making Circular Manufacturing Systems Work Better The research provides operational insights that are crucial for implementation in addition to its quantitative findings: Planning for Infrastructure and Capacity The study assumes that the OEM performs remanufacturing and reuse in separate facilities from primary production. Depending on whether greenfield construction or adaptation of existing facilities are used, CAPEX investments typically range from 2 to 6 times the design investment. Initial planning guidance is provided by the staffing equation (workers = demand/1000 + 1), which assumes stable efficiency. In actual operations, there will be learning curves, equipment downtime, and throughput-affecting variability in core quality. Practical Advice: Begin by adapting existing facilities with a focus on high-volume, high-value components (lower CAPEX multiplier). Greenfield, specialized facilities are becoming more and more cost-effective as volumes grow and learning curves become more efficient. 


Needs for Data Infrastructure The research emphasizes that operational data availability is a prerequisite for circular success.  Parameter estimation is needed for the declining success rate function and degradation model. These must rely on conservative estimates during use because they lack embedded sensors and data connectivity, which reduces their economic viability. Requirements for the Technology Stack: Temperature, vibration, and electrical performance monitoring during use are examples of IoT sensors. Edge Computing: Real-time data processing and product-level anomaly detection Infrastructure for connectivity: cellular and satellite connections for remote asset monitoring Cloud Analytics: centralized platforms that collect performance data for the entire fleet RFID, QR codes, or blockchain traceability systems allow for individual part tracking across multiple lifecycles. ERP Integration: Smooth communication between planning systems and operational data Identification and database management skills are required to keep track of individual components over multiple assembly and disassembly cycles. 


This requirement is reflected in the agent-based architecture of the simulation, where each component has a lifecycle history. Capabilities of the Organization and the Management of Change Implementing the circular economy successfully necessitates skills not found in conventional manufacturing. Variability is higher in remanufacturing than in new production. The study notes that different damage levels require different processing times, creating scheduling complexity.  Instead of highly specialized assembly line operations, businesses require workforces that are adaptable and skilled. Priorities for Capability Development: Cross-training technicians in diagnosis, repair, and quality assessment, as opposed to narrowly specialized tasks in Process Engineering Coordination of the supply chain involves removing functional barriers that divide procurement, which traditionally focuses on suppliers, and reverse logistics, which focuses on customer returns. Customer Relationship Management: In order to achieve the assumed 90 percent return rate, proactive engagement—perhaps through service contracts, buy-back programs, or deposit systems—is required. The OEM-customer relationship becomes more long-term as a result. Market Development and the Regulatory Setting Findings are positioned within European regulatory frameworks by the research. The End-of-Life Vehicles Directive 2000/53/EC establishes legal requirements for recovery. 


This regulatory reality is reflected in the mandatory recycling cost for non-recoverable parts in the simulation. The recent EU Critical Raw Materials Act may impose additional recovery requirements or incentives for rare earths. However, regulations on their own are not enough because the study assumes that remanufactured parts are "as good as new," even though they compete in spare parts markets that demand lower prices. The market barrier of customer acceptance of remanufactured goods is still unsolved by technical models. Strategies for Developing the Market: Ensure quality assurance by providing identical warranties for remanufactured goods. Transparency: Make it clear to customers that they will save money and help the environment. Performance Guarantees: Supply performance data demonstrating functionality that is as good as new Premium Positioning: Rather than compromising, portray remanufacturing as cutting-edge technology. Strategic Advice and Implications for Managers Manufacturing executives who are navigating circular transformation can benefit from the research's practical recommendations: Options for Strategic Design Implement component-level circular investment prioritization as the first recommendation. Create a priority matrix that takes into account the following, as opposed to a circular design that is common to all products: cost per component of the material Price fluctuation and criticality of the supply chain Possibilities of technical remanufacturing Projections for volume and return rates The Scania case demonstrates that subassembly S3 (rotor with rare-earth magnets) generates disproportionate returns for incremental investments of 10.6%. 


Using simulation-based scenario testing, apply similar analysis to your product portfolio. Include Circular Considerations in Stage-Gate Processes as a Second Recommendation Circular considerations must be incorporated into initial development due to the temporal gap between design decisions and EOL outcomes (10-15+ years). Change the criteria for design review to include: Time estimates for disassembly and equipment requirements Recycling is made simpler by material purity and separation. Accessibility of wear components for remanufacturing Integration points for sensors for operational monitoring Cost models that cover the entire lifecycle (not just production and use) The third recommendation is to establish product health monitoring as a fundamental capability. Predictive core quality assessment is crucial, as demonstrated by the success rate sensitivity analysis. Analytics capabilities that translate operational data into remaining useful life estimates, customer-facing interfaces that promote timely returns before critical damage, and embedded sensors for performance monitoring during utilization are among the investment priorities. 


Early in product development, collaborate with IoT platform providers and data analytics specialists. By 3-5 percent, retrofitting connectivity costs more than designing it in from the beginning. Implementation of Operations Step 4: Implement a Phased Rollout Strategy In light of significant CAPEX requirements and operational ambiguities: Phase 1 (Years 1-3): Pilot program to develop process expertise and validate economic assumptions with real data. Limited scope (one high-value subassembly). Phase 2 (Years 4-7): Scaled implementation broadens recovery scope as return volumes rise and learning curves lower costs. Phase 3: Full-scale operations that achieve steady-state economics as full utilization of first-generation products Financial risk is managed through this strategy, which also gradually builds organizational capabilities. 


Recommendation 5: Start working with partners in reverse logistics early The study assumes return rates of 90%, which can only be achieved through proactive collection strategies. For core collection, think about partnerships with dealers and service networks, incentive structures that encourage returns (deposit-refunds, trade-in credits), regional consolidation centers that reduce transportation costs, and information systems that provide return visibility and forecasting. Deal with dealer agreements, which should include things like core collection goals and pay structures. Test deposit-refund programs in areas where customers are likely to accept them. 


Sixth Recommendation: Invest in Inspection and Disassembly Automation In recovery operations, labor intensity is indicated by the staffing equation. Automation investments should focus on flexible reassembly lines that can accommodate mixed new and remanufactured components, disassembly robots with adaptive capabilities for handling product variations, automated inspection systems that use computer vision for quality assessment, cleaning systems that reduce manual handling and improve consistency, and disassembly robots. Prioritize the automation of high-volume, variable, and repetitive tasks (such as inspection and cleaning) over complex decisions that still require human judgment. Designing a New Business Model 

7th Recommendation: Look into Other Types of Ownership The study is based on conventional sales with an optional buy-back option. Consider:

 Product-as-a-Service: Lease/subscription models that remain under OEM ownership offer continuous performance data and guarantee 100 percent return rates. This eliminates uncertainty regarding return rates, but it necessitates distinct financial structures and customer value propositions. Performance-Based Contracting: Selling "operational hours" or "kilometers driven" rather than actual products ensures that OEM incentives are aligned with product longevity and effective maintenance, naturally supporting circular practices. Second-Life Marketplaces: Expand addressable markets by creating channels for recovered products in various applications (such as remanufactured electric machines for industrial equipment after automotive use). 


Eighth Recommendation: Work with the industry to develop volume and standardization Economy of scale is restricted by volume constraints, which limit single-OEM circularity. Economy is improved by industry collaboration through: shared facilities for remanufacturing multiple OEM products standardized interfaces that permit component reuse across brands collaborations with recyclers to guarantee infrastructure for material recovery Common data standards for product lifecycle and health monitoring Participate in or lead industry consortia developing standards for the circular economy. Standard-setting pioneers have a disproportionate impact on ecosystem development. Evaluation of performance and Constant Improvement 

Recommendation 9: Set Circular-Specific Key Performance Indicators Circular performance is not adequately captured by conventional financial and operational metrics. Establish:

 Economic Indicators: Circular cost difference (new production versus remanufactured unit cost) Return on circular investment, or ROCI, compares operational savings to investments in design and infrastructure. Cost of core acquisition in relation to product value Environmental indicators: Material circularity index (percentage of mass remade or reused versus virgin) Carbon intensity per unit from cradle to gate across all lifecycles Supply chain risks are weighted by material criticality scores. Metrics for Operations: Success rates of remanufacturing according to component and damage level Time distributions and core return rates Processing times for recovery and productivity of workers Comparison of remanufactured and new products' quality conformance Retry Continue Edit Report dashboard with leading and lagging indicators that are examined quarterly with executive leadership and annually with board sustainability committees Tenth Recommendation: Make Simulation Capability an Important Strategic Asset The study shows that strategic decision-making benefits from simulation.


 Utilizing simulation for training managers on circular supply chain dynamics, developing internal simulation capabilities or partnering with specialists, regularly updating models with operational data to improve accuracy, testing strategic scenarios (such as variations in demand, changes in technology, and shifts in regulatory requirements) prior to committing resources are all necessary. Create a dedicated circular economy modeling team that reports to operations or strategy functions. Through improved decision quality regarding multimillion-dollar infrastructure investments, the investment (two to three FTEs and software licenses) yields a return on investment (ROI). Case Study Insights and AI Capabilities Connected The Scania case study identifies specific areas in which the application of AI could enhance circular manufacturing success: Optimization of Magnet Recovery in AI Application 1 Parts P8, P9, and P10 in subassembly S3 containing rare-earth magnets were identified as the highest priority for circular investment by the optimization. 


However, quality variability is brought about by magnet demagnetization as a result of mechanical and thermal stress. AI Solution: To predict magnet flux density degradation, use machine learning models that process operational data like temperature cycling, mechanical vibrations, and electrical load patterns. This allows: Selective recovery: Collect only EMs whose magnets exceed minimum performance thresholds Dynamic pricing: Give cores with predicted high-quality magnets a higher buy-back price. Optimize the process by sending high-quality magnets directly to reuse, medium-quality magnets to remagnetization, and low-quality magnets to recycling. Increase magnet recovery rate from 60% (the current simulation result) to 75-80%, resulting in a 20-25% increase in material savings on the component with the highest cost. 

Adaptive Disassembly Sequencing is AI Application 2 EOL paths are evaluated by the cascading logic at the product, module, subassembly, and part levels. However, the research is based on the assumption that assembly mirrors fixed disassembly sequences. AI Solution: Agents with reinforcement learning learn the best disassembly sequences taking into account: Actual state of the component (some subassemblies may be worse off than others) Current requirements for inventory (prioritize recovering parts that are scarce) Tooling and operator proficiency levels Time constraints and goals for throughput Compared to fixed sequences, the expected impact is a 15-20% decrease in average disassembly time and a 25-30% reduction in labor costs (C_CD in the cost model). 

Third AI Application: Boosting Return Rates Through Predictive Engagement All circular benefits are eliminated by zero return rates, according to the sensitivity analysis. The presumed return rate of 90% necessitates proactive customer involvement. AI Solution: Customers most likely to return cores are identified by predictive models based on: Patterns of vehicle use and wear indicators Behavior in the past (previous returns, service use) Aspects of geography and demographics Response to economic incentives Use personalized incentives and targeted communication campaigns to launch outreach at a time when predicted core quality is at its best for recovery. Expected Impact: Optimized timing will directly address the two parameters from the sensitivity analysis that are the most sensitive. This will result in an increase in return rate from 90% to more than 95% and an improvement in average core quality of 10-15%. Multi-Lifecycle Material Tracking is AI Application 4 As parts undergo second remanufacturing, the temporal analysis revealed effects of quality degradation in the third phase (years 30-45). 

However, not all components degrade equally; some may continue to function after the third cycle. AI Solution: Create digital replicas of each component for tracking: Batch and date of manufacture Processes and materials utilized in manufacturing and remanufacturing complete history of operations across all lifecycles Evaluations of quality at each recovery point Instead of making generalizations, machine learning uses individual parts to forecast remaining lifecycle potential. Extending the viable recovery window for parts of the highest quality, possibly allowing selective third lifecycles for 10 to 15 percent of components, and further lowering the material demand beyond the plateau of 14.7% found in the research are the expected effects. Risks, Limitations, and Future Directions for Research While the research provides useful insights, there are a few drawbacks that should be taken into consideration: Simplifications and Model Assumptions Steady-State Economics: Observed volatility is not reflected in the 45-year constant demand and fixed material costs. Business case economics would be significantly impacted by the 152 percent rise in rare earth price that was mentioned in the introduction. 


With Monte Carlo simulation, stochastic price modeling would provide confidence intervals for ROI projections. Technology Stasis: The study assumes that the design of electric machines will remain the same for 45 years. In point of fact, advancements in technology, such as advanced materials and magnet-free motors, may render recovery infrastructure obsolete. Technology disruption pathways should be included in scenario planning. Single OEM View: The model does not take into account competitive dynamics, the entry of third-party remanufacturers into the market, or cannibalization, in which remanufactured products replace new sales. Competitive circular economy strategies could be investigated using game-theoretic approaches. Linear Degradation: The assumption that D(t) = a t simplifies wear patterns too much. Stable operation, accelerated wear-out phases, and early infant mortality are all signs of nonlinear degradation in electric machines. Accuracy would be enhanced by utilizing physics-based degradation models such as Arrhenius equations for thermal aging and Paris Law for crack propagation. Risks of Implementation Organizational Opposition: Circular manufacturing necessitates a shift in culture. 


Variability brought on by a mix of new and remanufactured components may be able to withstand production teams that have been optimized for efficiency with the same new parts. In technical models, change management and incentive alignment are important but not addressed. Variability in Quality: In practice, the "as good as new" assumption might not be true. Remanufactured parts may have higher failure rates despite rigorous testing, resulting in warranty costs and reputational risks. This risk can be managed with conservative initial implementations (remanufactured parts used in non-critical applications). Evolution of Regulation: The assumptions that are currently in place regarding recycling obligations and recovery incentives might change. Either way, carbon pricing, expanded producer responsibility, or right-to-repair legislation could significantly alter economics. Acceptance in the Market: The research does not model the elasticity of demand for products with remanufactured parts. Pricing strategies and positioning could be better understood through the results of consumer surveys and behavioral economics experiments. 


Future Opportunities for Research Multi-Product Portfolio Optimization: Use shared platform analysis to cover all vehicle lineups. Reusing components from different products could significantly boost recovery economics. Model multi-facility configurations with regional variations in costs, regulations, and markets for network design optimization. Determine the ideal locations for distributed recovery capabilities versus specialized remanufacturing centers. Real-Time Adaptive Control: Instead of static strategic planning, integrate simulation models with live operational data streams to enable dynamic decision-making as conditions change. Innovation in the Circular Business Model: Formally model the effects of alternative ownership structures like leasing, performance contracting, and shared mobility on return rates, utilization intensities, and the economics of the system as a whole. Cross-Industry Collaboration: Look into opportunities for shared infrastructure in which a number of OEMs or industries (such as aerospace, industrial, and automotive) jointly operate recovery facilities to benefit from economies of scale. Artificial Intelligence Integration: Quantify the added value of machine learning-enhanced decision-making by explicitly implementing the AI use cases discussed in this essay within the simulation framework. 


Conclusion: 

AI-Enhanced Circular Manufacturing's Strategic Need Pérez, Lieder, Jeong, and Asif's study is a turning point in manufacturing strategy. They provide executives with the evidence required to justify circular investments by quantifying the benefits of circular practices to the economy as well as the environment through sophisticated simulation. Through 10.6 percent design investment, a cost reduction of 18.6 percent and an improvement in carbon footprint of 38.7 percent were achieved. This demonstrates that circularity provides both economic and environmental value simultaneously—the elusive "win-win" that sustainability advocates promise but rarely rigorously quantify. New infrastructure, distinct organizational capabilities, altered business models, and integrated data systems covering decades-long product lifecycles are all necessary for realizing these benefits. The sensitivity analysis reveals that operational excellence in remanufacturing processes, proactive core acquisition strategies, and predictive product health monitoring are necessary for success. At this point, artificial intelligence becomes not only useful but also necessary. With stochastic return flows, quality-dependent routing, multi-lifecycle material tracking, and cascading decision hierarchies, circular supply chains are more complicated than human cognitive capacity for real-time optimization. Computational intelligence is provided by AI to: Optimized return timing is made possible by accurately predicting individual component degradation. Improve consistency while lowering labor costs with automated quality assessment. Under uncertainty, optimize inventory policies by balancing new and remanufactured parts. Find effective sequences of disassembly that adapt to actual conditions. Maintain the integrity of the data by tracking materials through multiple lifecycles. Utilizing external economic and policy variables to forecast demand The architectural foundation for AI integration is provided by this study's simulation framework. Digital twin concepts are mirrored by agent-based modeling in which individual parts have lifecycle histories. The cost and environmental accounting structures offer optimization algorithms training data. 

The capability of scenario testing enables the secure validation of AI-driven decisions prior to their actual implementation. The strategic imperative for manufacturing executives is crystal clear: material scarcity, regulatory pressure, and customer expectations are driving circular practices from voluntary sustainability initiatives to competitive necessities. The question is not whether circular manufacturing should be implemented, but rather how to strategically do so by starting with high-value components, gradually building capabilities, and utilizing AI to manage complexity. This study's winning formula is as follows: Strategic Design Investment: Focus on high-value components made of expensive, limited-supply materials in circular design (10-15 percent additional investment). Phased Implementation: Start with pilot programs on individual subassemblies and scale up as capabilities improve and volumes increase. Integrate sensors and connectivity into the data infrastructure to enable predictive core quality assessment and optimized return timing. Process Excellence: Maximize success rates (the most sensitive parameter) by investing in remanufacturing automation and quality control.

 Innovation in the business model: Use proactive core acquisition strategies (buy-back, leasing, and deposits) to guarantee return rates above 85 percent. AI Integration: Implement adaptive optimization by incorporating machine learning capabilities into simulation foundations. Industry Collaboration: Take part in the development of standards and think about sharing infrastructure to take advantage of scale economies. Performance Management: Set circular-specific KPIs to monitor material circularity, recovery success rates, and the return on investment made in circularity. As material realities force manufacturing sector transformation, businesses that follow this formula—which combines strategic design, operational excellence, data infrastructure, and AI-enhanced decision-making—will be in a position to thrive. The road map is provided by the simulation-based decision support demonstrated in this study. The capability for execution is provided by the integration with artificial intelligence. 

The design choices that manufacturers make today are the starting point for the future of the circular economy, which is not some far-off theory. In 2040, products that are currently in development will return for recovery. In order to realize their value, the infrastructure, capabilities, and data systems that are required must be built between the years 2025 and 2030. The quantitative basis for those investment decisions is provided by this research. Circularity must encompass all high-value, material-intensive components in order for the electric vehicle revolution to fulfill its environmental potential. A good place to start is with electric machines because of their strategic importance and rare-earth magnets. The scaled-up cost reduction of 18.6% and the material demand reduction of 14.7% result in the avoidance of millions of tonnes of virgin material extraction and billions of dollars in economic value. The question for leaders in manufacturing is whether or not your company will lead the way with circular manufacturing, gaining a competitive advantage, and contributing to genuine sustainability. Or will regulatory mandates and material scarcity necessitate costly, reactive compliance? There are currently simulation tools, AI technologies, and strategic frameworks. Now, vision, dedication, and action are required. Manufacturing's future is circular. Now is the time to act. 


More Reading and References M. Pérez, M. Lieder, Y. Jeong, and F. Asif M.  A.  (2025).  a remanufacturing case study for a simulation-based decision support tool for automotive industry circular manufacturing systems employing electric machines. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207543.2025.2464912, International Journal of Production Research. Economy of Circles (2021).  https://www.circularity-gap.world/2021. Circularity Gap Report Foundation Ellen MacArthur (2013).  Vol. Toward the Circular Economy 1. The Economic and Business Justification for a Quicker Transition. Commission of Europe. (2023).  Act on Critical Raw Materials in Europe M. Lieder and A. Rashid (2016).  A comprehensive examination of the manufacturing sector in the context of the implementation of the circular economy. 115, 36-51, Journal of Cleaner Production.